Blue Glacier Mass Balance Record


Year    ELA   AAR      b_n      sigma      SIGMA b_n

1956   1530   0.89     1.15      0.5        1.15  
1957                  -1.34      1.0       -0.19  
1958   2100   0.28    -1.90      0.5       -2.09  
1959   1725   0.56    -0.30      0.5       -2.39  
1960   1730   0.56    -0.28      0.5       -2.67  
1961   1675   0.64     0.47      0.5       -2.20  
1962   1700   0.59     0.21      0.5       -1.99  
1963   1900   0.42    -0.58      0.5       -2.57  
1964   1645   0.70     0.63      0.5       -1.94  
1965   1950   0.40    -0.56      0.5       -2.50  
1966   1655   0.68     0.34      0.5       -2.16  
1967   1675   0.64     0.34      0.5       -1.82  
1968   1850   0.45     0.03      0.5       -1.79  
1969   1660   0.67     0.71      0.5       -1.08  
1970   1825   0.47    -0.39      0.5       -1.47  
1971   1580   0.83     1.15      0.5       -0.32  
1972   1600   0.80     0.40      0.5        0.08  
1973   1730   0.56    -0.14      0.5       -0.06  
1974   1505   0.91     2.00      0.5        1.94  
1975   1620   0.75     0.67      0.5        2.61  
1976                   1.42      1.0        4.03  
1977                  -1.24      1.0        2.79  
1978                   0.51      1.0        3.30  
1979   1970   0.39    -1.15      0.5        2.15  
1980   2020   0.36    -1.61      0.5        0.54  
1981   2030   0.35    -1.31      0.5       -0.77  
1982   1645   0.70     0.75      0.5       -0.02  
1983   1610   0.77     1.34      0.5        1.32  
1984   1660   0.67     0.49      0.5        1.81  
1985   1665   0.66     0.42      0.5        2.23  
1986   1910   0.41    -0.92      0.5        1.31  
1987   1750   0.53    -0.79      1.0        0.52  
1988   1625   0.74     0.22      1.0        0.74  
1989   1725   0.56    -0.64      1.0        0.10  
1990   1850   0.45    -1.18      1.0       -1.08  
1991   1750   0.53    -0.79      1.0       -1.87  
1992   1850   0.45    -1.18      1.0       -3.05  
1993   1900   0.42    -1.35      1.0       -4.40  
1994   2050   0.34    -1.75      1.0       -6.15  
1995   1650   0.69    -0.01      1.0       -6.16  
1996   1750   0.53    -0.79      1.0       -6.95  
1997   1700   0.59    -0.49      1.0       -7.44  
1998   1825   0.47    -1.11      1.0       -8.55  
1999   1500   0.92     1.09      1.0       -7.46  

ELA is the late season altitude of the equilibrium line in meters above the National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929, AAR is the fraction of the glacier area above that altitude, b_n is the net balance in water equivalent meters, sigma is its estimated standard error, and cumulative values SIGMA b_n are since the end of the 1955 ablation season.

Values for 1956-1997 are from Conway et al (1999), which adjusted b_n given by Armstrong (1989) to be consistent with measured volume changes of the glacier; it also extended the record to later years by applying to late-season observations of the ELA the relation (in terms of the AAR) obtained in earlier years when both b_n and the ELA were measured. That relation was also used to get values for 1998 and 1999.

Although large sigma are ascribed to b_n in individual years, cumulative values over selected periods (between measurements of volume change) are more closely constrained: 1.9 m over 1957-87, 2.8 m over 1987-95, 3.2 m over 1957-95. Years when b_n was measured have sigma = 0.5, others 1.0.

Values here reflect the best judgment of H. Conway and L. A. Rasmussen. The mass balance program was suspended in 1999.

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